Expected Insights: Houston Dynamo vs CF Montreal

(image via CF Montreal)

Expected Insights is your data-driven look ahead to the Houston Dynamo’s next match. We break down the key numbers—expected goals, chance creation, pressing metrics, and tactical trends—that could shape the outcome. From midfield duels to final-third efficiency, we’re diving into the stats that matter most for the Orange. If you want to understand how the Dynamo can tilt the pitch in their favor, you’re in the right place. Today we take a look into tonigh’s match against CF Montreal.

• With Jack McGlynn away on international duty, the midfield setup will see some adjustments. In the only game McGlynn missed this season, Junior Urso stepped up with an impressive performance—winning six of seven duels and completing 53 of 54 passes. Expect him to once again play a key role alongside Artur in the middle if he plays tonight.

• If Ben Olsen opts not to play Junior Urso, we can expect good minutes from either Duane Holmes or Lawrence Ennali, both of whom are just getting back to full fitness after long term injuries.

• CF Montréal have struggled in the final third, scoring just 12 goals all season, the fewest in MLS. They’ll be without forward Giacomo Vrioni due to suspension, and will also miss Nathan Saliba and Joel Waterman, with both being away on international duty.

• On the defensive side, Montréal have conceded 32 goals, the 4th highest total in the league. They also lead MLS in errors that lead to shots, with 20 so far this season.

• Historically, the Dynamo have been dominant at home against Montréal with an 8-1-1 record. However, that one loss came in their last meeting in Houston, a 3-2 result back in 2022. The team will be looking to bounce back and protect their home field this time around.