Expected Insights: Houston Dynamo vs LA Galaxy

(image via Houston Dynamo FC)

Expected Insights is your data-driven look ahead to the Houston Dynamo’s next match. We break down the key numbers—expected goals, chance creation, pressing metrics, and tactical trends—that could shape the outcome. From midfield duels to final-third efficiency, we’re diving into the stats that matter most for the Orange. If you want to understand how the Dynamo can tilt the pitch in their favor, you’re in the right place. Today we take a look into tonight’s match against the LA Galaxy.

• The Dynamo have an all time record of 11W-11L-8D against LA Galaxy. That improves to 8W-4L-2D at Home.

• This fixture has been very high scoring as of late. In the last 8 home games against the Galaxy, there has been an average of 4 goals a game.

• After going winless in their opening 16 MLS games this season, the Galaxy have been much better, posting a record of 3W-2L-3D in their last 8 games. They are averaging 1.73xG and 1.24xGA in those matches.

• In that stretch of 8 games, the Galaxy's wing duo of Gabriel Pec and Joseph Paintsil have started to regain the form that led them to MLS Cup last year, with 8 goals scored between them.

• With the Galaxy still sitting at 29th in the Supporters Shield standings, it is worth noting that the Dynamo have been awful when playing against teams in the bottom third of the standings. They have a record of 2W-5L-1D and just 0.875ppg against teams ranked 20-30 in the standings. Houston has a record of 5W-6L-5D, at 1.25ppg, against teams ranked 1-19 in the MLS table.